Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	4	5	2	-	2.25	3.8	1.24	-	-
Away	1	0	0	11	5	6	5	-	-	-	3.9	1.25	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.05	2.3	7	1.1	1.53	1.67	-	-	-	-	1.4	2.85	2.85	1.4

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +28.7% | EV +46.7% | ROI +47.9% | n=100 | k=1.62

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.3% | EV +18.8% | ROI +45.8% | n=100 | k=1.67

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.6% | ROI +35.0% | n=100 | k=2.85

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -2.7% | ROI -2.4% | n=100 | k=1.40

AI-agent: At 58 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Rennes and Nantes, the market is leaning towards a draw, with odds dropping 49% from pre-match levels. Although Rennes started as favorites, Nantes leads in shots and has shown more activity recently, reflecting a balanced tempo without sustained pressure from either side. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away handicap +1.5, showing a 91% win rate and a 47.9% ROI over 100 similar matches. The model identifies AH_AWAY+1.5 as the best candidate with a 28.7% edge and 46.7% expected value, but the entry conditions are not yet fully met given the current match dynamics. The top markets suggest watching AH_AWAY+1.5 and double chance X2 with positive expected value, while other options like under 3.5 goals are not recommended. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer signals before committing.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 58