Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	2.25	1.75	1.27	-	-
Away	1	0	0	15	7	8	5	-	-	-	3.55	2.05	1.62

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.5	1.91	7.5	1.08	1.8	1.5	-	-	-	-	1.67	2.2	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.5% | EV +83.1% | ROI +87.9% | n=85 | k=2.05

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +29.3% | EV +47.5% | ROI +56.8% | n=85 | k=1.62

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.3% | EV +15.4% | ROI +30.6% | n=85 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.2% | EV +0.5% | ROI +42.4% | n=85 | k=2.20

AI-agent: At 78 minutes into the Rennes vs Nantes match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. The market is favoring the draw, with odds dropping 58% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current scoreline. Although Rennes started as favorites, Nantes leads in shots and has been more active recently, applying pressure in the final phase. Historical data supports a strong edge for the away team with Asian Handicap +1, showing a 96.1% win rate and an 87.9% ROI over 85 similar matches. The best model suggestion is to back Nantes with AH +1 at odds of 2.05, offering a 40.5% edge and 83.1% expected value. However, the entry conditions based on current score, tempo, and stats are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Monitoring this market is advised while considering risk management due to the balanced score and active guest pressure.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387975 | minute: 78