Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	4	2	2	1	-	2.38	1.65	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	-	-	-	2.75	2.2	1.55

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.5	10	1.06	1.18	3	-	-	1.17	5	1.75	2.05	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.3% | EV +25.0% | ROI +20.6% | n=490 | k=3.00

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.2% | EV +9.3% | ROI +16.4% | n=490 | k=2.20

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.9% | EV +4.2% | ROI +5.6% | n=490 | k=4.50

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.2% | ROI -24.4% | n=490 | k=2.38

AI-agent: At the 30th minute in Auxerre's 1-0 lead over Angers, the market is increasingly favoring the home side, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels, reflecting their current dominance in shots and pressure. The match tempo and scoreline align well with their previous encounter, where Auxerre eventually won 2-0. Historical data for similar situations supports a double chance on Angers (X2) with a positive edge of +8.3% and an expected value of +25.0%, though the entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not fully met yet. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing careful risk management despite promising returns. Other top markets also suggest monitoring rather than immediate action.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 30