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Match Replay

Step 23 of 64. Current minute: 34 .
France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 34'   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 1 - 2.38 1.65 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.75 2.2 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.33 4.5 11 1.05 1.18 3.25 - - 1.2 4.5 1.93 1.93 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.4% | EV +30.4% | ROI +31.2% | n=508 | k=3.25
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.7% | EV +8.0% | ROI +17.1% | n=508 | k=2.20
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.0% | EV +4.6% | ROI +10.7% | n=508 | k=4.50
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.9% | ROI +6.9% | n=508 | k=1.92
AI-agent: At 34 minutes, Auxerre leads 1-0 against Angers, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 26% drop in odds from pre-match levels and confirmed by their dominance in shots and tempo. Historically, similar situations show a 40.4% chance for a draw or away win (X2) with a positive ROI of 31.2%, but this is a weak historical check given the current score and match flow. The model identifies X2 as the best candidate bet with an edge of +9.4% and expected value of +30.4%, but entry conditions are not yet met due to the current score and match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching X2 and Asian Handicap +1 on the away side, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet. Over 2.5 goals is not recommended now due to negative expected value and edge. Caution and risk control are advised before considering any bet in this phase.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 34