Match Replay

Step 27 of 64. Current minute: 41 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	5	4	2	-	2.5	1.68	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	2	1	1	1	-	-	-	2.75	2.15	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	4.5	11	1.05	1.18	3.25	-	-	1.22	4.33	2.02	1.82	4.33	1.22

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.4% | EV +30.4% | ROI +33.9% | n=495 | k=3.25

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.7% | EV +8.0% | ROI +18.3% | n=495 | k=2.15

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.0% | EV +4.6% | ROI +24.5% | n=495 | k=4.50

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.2% | ROI -3.0% | n=495 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At 41 minutes, Auxerre leads 1-0 against Angers, with the market strongly favoring the home side as their odds dropped 26% from pre-match levels. Auxerre's dominance is confirmed by shot statistics and match tempo, reflecting the current scoreline well. Historical data shows a moderate edge for the double chance X2 (draw or Angers win) with a 41.2% probability and 33.9% ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet due to entry rules not being met. The top-4 markets suggest watching X2 and Asian Handicap +1 on Angers with positive expected value, while over 2.5 goals is not recommended. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing cautious risk management.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 41