Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	13	6	7	3	-	1.85	1.18	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	3	2	1	2	-	-	-	2.75	4.8	2

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.08	8.5	41	1	1.07	8	-	-	1.33	3.4	2.42	1.52	6	1.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +7.3% | EV +14.7% | ROI +49.4% | n=419 | k=2.00

2) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -4.1% | EV -6.2% | ROI +9.2% | n=419 | k=1.52

3) No Bet | Under 1.5 Goals | Edge -1.5% | EV -5.1% | ROI +0.6% | n=419 | k=3.40

4) No Bet | Over 1.5 Goals | Edge -2.9% | EV -3.9% | ROI -6.1% | n=419 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 57 minutes, Auxerre leads Angers 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 40% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Auxerre's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data shows a strong edge for the double chance X2 (draw or away win) with a 34.8% probability and 178.8% ROI, but the current match dynamics do not meet the entry criteria for this bet. The top-4 markets suggest watching the Asian Handicap +1.5 on Angers as the best option, offering moderate positive expected value and risk control. Other markets show no clear betting advantage, so this remains a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory bet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 57