Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	14	7	7	3	-	1.9	2.38	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	2	2	3	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	29	126	1.18	1.25	1.91	-	-	-	-	1.5	2.62	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.0% | EV +95.0% | ROI +96.3% | n=157 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +29.3% | EV +55.6% | ROI +39.2% | n=157 | k=1.90

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -4.3% | ROI +5.3% | n=157 | k=2.62

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.1% | EV -4.7% | ROI -10.2% | n=157 | k=1.50

AI-agent: At 65 minutes, Auxerre leads Angers 2-0 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors the home side, with the odds dropping 44% from pre-match levels, reflecting their confirmed dominance in shots. Recent play shows no sustained pressure from either team, but the scoreline aligns well with the match flow. Historical data for similar situations supports a strong advantage for Auxerre with a -1 handicap, showing a 94.3% win rate and a 96.3% ROI over 157 matches. The model confirms this with a significant edge of +40% and expected value of +95%, though no new bet is opened since the position is already covered. The best betting opportunity remains the -1 handicap on Auxerre, but risk control advises monitoring the -1.5 handicap as a watch option. Over/under 2.5 goals is not recommended currently due to negative expected value. This is a favorable but controlled scenario for betting on Auxerre's handicap.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 65