Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	9	7	3	-	1.9	2.38	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	4	2	2	3	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3.6	4.5	1.18	1.25	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.75	2.12

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.5% | EV +96.1% | ROI +132.3% | n=53 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +30.0% | EV +56.9% | ROI +82.8% | n=53 | k=1.90

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.3% | ROI +12.3% | n=53 | k=2.12

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -12.0% | EV -54.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=53 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At the 72nd minute, Auxerre leads Angers 3-0 with no red cards. The market shows no strong shift from pre-match odds, and Auxerre's dominance in shots confirms their control, especially in recent minutes. Historical data strongly supports a -1 handicap for Auxerre, with a 100% win rate in 53 similar matches and a high ROI of 132.3%. The model confirms a strong edge (+40.5%) and expected value (+96.1%) on the AH_HOME-1 bet at 2.38 odds, though no new stake is opened as this position is already covered. The best betting opportunity remains the AH_HOME-1 handicap, but risk should be managed carefully. Other markets like AH_HOME-1.5 and under 3.5 goals are watch-only, indicating monitoring rather than mandatory bets.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 72