Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	9	7	3	-	1.9	2.38	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	5	2	3	4	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.8	3.6	4.5	1.18	1.25	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.85	2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.5% | EV +96.1% | ROI +135.0% | n=55 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +30.0% | EV +56.9% | ROI +86.5% | n=55 | k=1.90

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.2% | ROI +23.6% | n=55 | k=2.00

4) No Bet | AWAY | Edge -12.0% | EV -54.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=55 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At the 75th minute with Auxerre leading 3-0 against Angers, the market shows no sharp shifts from pre-match odds, reflecting the current scoreline well. Auxerre confirms their dominance through shot pressure, especially in the recent phase, outperforming their previous meeting where the score was 1-0 at this point. Historical data strongly supports a home handicap -1 bet, with a 100% win rate and a high ROI of 135% over 55 matches. The model confirms this bet with a significant edge of +40.5% and expected value near +96%, though no new bet is opened as the position is already covered. This is the best betting opportunity here, but risk should be managed carefully. Other markets suggest watching or no bet, indicating a monitoring phase rather than mandatory entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 75