Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	-	2.05	1.5	1.43	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	2.75	2.5	1.75

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.3	5	10	1.06	1.17	3.4	-	-	1.08	8	1.44	2.75	2.3	1.61

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.7% | EV +33.1% | ROI +14.7% | n=2094 | k=3.40

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.5% | EV +13.7% | ROI +10.9% | n=2094 | k=2.50

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.7% | ROI -1.0% | n=2094 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.8% | EV -3.7% | ROI NA | n=2094 | k=2.05

AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the Auxerre vs Angers match, Auxerre leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 26% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not confirm dominance by either team. Both teams play at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 2-0 to Auxerre after a 0-0 score at this stage. Historical data supports a double chance on Angers (X2) with a 66.4% success rate and a positive ROI of 14.7%. The model shows a strong edge (+9.7%) and expected value (+33.1%) for this bet, but entry conditions are not fully met yet, so no active bet is recommended. The top markets suggest monitoring the double chance on Angers and Asian handicap +1 for the away team as promising options, while avoiding bets on the home team handicap -1.5 due to negative expected value. This is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet, emphasizing risk control and waiting for clearer confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 11