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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 11'   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 - 2.2 1.6 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - 2.75 2.3 1.65
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.33 4.75 9.5 1.06 1.17 3.25 - - 1.1 7 1.53 2.5 2.62 1.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +10.2% | EV +33.2% | ROI +14.7% | n=2094 | k=3.25
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.2% | EV +9.6% | ROI +10.9% | n=2094 | k=2.30
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.7% | EV +3.1% | ROI -1.0% | n=2094 | k=4.75
4) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.4% | EV -1.0% | ROI NA | n=2094 | k=2.20
AI-agent: At 11 minutes into the Auxerre vs Angers match, Auxerre leads 1-0, but the market pressure currently favors the away team with a 26% drop in odds for X2 since pre-match. Shot statistics do not clearly support either side, and the game tempo is slower than their last meeting. Historical data for similar situations shows a 66.4% chance for a draw or away win with a positive ROI of 14.7%, supporting the X2 bet at odds of 3.25 and an expected value of +33.2%. However, the model has not triggered a confirmed entry due to current score and match dynamics, so this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Risk control suggests monitoring X2 and Asian Handicap +1 for the away team as the best options now.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 11