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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 28'   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 4 2 2 1 - 2.38 1.68 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.75 2.15 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.36 4.5 10 1.06 1.18 3 - - 1.14 5.5 1.73 2.08 3.4 1.33
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +8.3% | EV +25.0% | ROI +20.5% | n=483 | k=3.00
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +2.9% | EV +6.2% | ROI +13.9% | n=483 | k=2.15
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.9% | EV +4.2% | ROI +6.2% | n=483 | k=4.50
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +0.6% | EV +1.3% | ROI -23.3% | n=483 | k=2.38
AI-agent: At 28 minutes into the Auxerre vs Angers match, Auxerre leads 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 24% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming their dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data on similar situations supports a double chance on Angers (X2) with a positive edge and ROI, though the model has not triggered a bet due to current match conditions. The top-4 markets suggest monitoring X2 and related bets as potential opportunities, but this remains a watch scenario rather than a firm entry. Historical checks are solid, but caution is advised given the live dynamics and scoreline.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 28