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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 36'   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 1 - 2.38 1.62 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.75 2.25 1.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.33 4.5 11 1.05 1.18 3.25 - - 1.2 4.5 1.93 1.93 3.75 1.28
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.4% | EV +30.4% | ROI +31.4% | n=497 | k=3.25
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.0% | EV +11.2% | ROI +19.6% | n=497 | k=2.25
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.0% | EV +4.6% | ROI +13.2% | n=497 | k=4.50
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.9% | ROI +2.3% | n=497 | k=1.92
AI-agent: At 36 minutes, Auxerre leads Angers 1-0 with no red cards. The market strongly favors Auxerre, reflecting their shot dominance and recent pressure, consistent with the match flow and similar past encounters. However, historical data on similar situations suggests a 40.4% chance for a draw or Angers win, with a positive ROI of 31.4%. The best model pick is a double chance on Angers (X2) at 3.25 odds, showing a 9.4% edge and 30.4% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet. The top-4 markets recommend watching rather than betting now, emphasizing risk control and monitoring rather than mandatory entry.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 36