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France | Ligue 1 | Auxerre - Angers | 03.05.2026 | 20:15:00 | LIVE 39'   —   Auxerre 1:0 Angers
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 7 3 4 1 - 2.42 1.65 1.43 - -
Away 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 - - - 2.75 2.2 1.52
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.33 4.5 11 1.05 1.18 3.25 - - 1.2 4.5 1.98 1.88 4 1.25
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +9.4% | EV +30.4% | ROI +34.1% | n=497 | k=3.25
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.3% | EV +9.5% | ROI +20.7% | n=497 | k=2.20
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +1.0% | EV +4.6% | ROI +20.4% | n=497 | k=4.50
4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.0% | EV -4.0% | ROI -1.4% | n=497 | k=1.98
AI-agent: At 39 minutes, Auxerre leads Angers 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home team, reflected by a 26% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Auxerre's dominance in shots and tempo. Historical data shows a moderate edge for the away double chance (X2) with a 41.2% win rate and 34.1% ROI over 497 matches, but the model's entry conditions are not yet met for a bet. The top-4 markets suggest watching the X2 and Asian Handicap +1 for the away side, both showing positive expected value and ROI, while over 2.5 goals is not recommended. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing risk control and waiting for stronger confirmation.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 39