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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	16	9	7	3	-	1.9	2.38	1.43	-	-
Away	1	0	0	7	3	4	4	-	-	-	2.75	1.55	1.95

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1	51	451	1.18	1.25	1.91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +40.3% | EV +95.7% | ROI +123.4% | n=78 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +29.8% | EV +56.6% | ROI +70.5% | n=78 | k=1.90

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -33.7% | EV -65.7% | ROI -80.0% | n=78 | k=1.95

4) No Bet | Double Chance X2 | Edge -34.8% | EV -66.4% | ROI -100.0% | n=78 | k=1.91

AI-agent: At the 84th minute, Auxerre leads Angers 3-1 with no red cards. Market pressure strongly favors the home side, reflected in a 44% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming Auxerre's dominance in shots and overall tempo. Historical data for similar situations shows a perfect record for the home -1 handicap, with 70 wins out of 78 matches and an impressive ROI of 123.4%. The model confirms a strong edge (+40.3%) and expected value (+95.7%) for the AH_HOME-1 bet at odds of 2.38. However, no new bet is opened as this position is already held or covered in the portfolio. This is a clear opportunity to back Auxerre with the -1 handicap, but risk management should consider the current coverage. Monitoring other markets like AH_HOME-1.5 shows potential but with lower edge and EV, while bets on the away side or double chance are not recommended due to negative expected returns.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387977 | minute: 84