Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	2	4	3	-	1.55	1.57	-	-	-
Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	-	-	-	2.35	2.38

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.11	8.5	23	1.01	1.07	6.5	-	-	1.11	6.5	1.5	2.62	2.62	1.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.3% | EV +5.5% | ROI +41.7% | n=1352 | k=2.38

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -5.1% | EV -11.9% | ROI +63.8% | n=1352 | k=2.35

3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -5.2% | ROI +3.9% | n=1352 | k=1.50

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -4.3% | ROI +9.5% | n=1352 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At 28 minutes in Lille leads Le Havre 1-0 with no red cards. Market pressure favors Lille, reflected by a 19% drop in odds from pre-match levels, confirming their dominance in shots and tempo. Historically, the double chance on Le Havre (X2) shows a strong edge with 68.4% success and 88.1% ROI over 1352 matches, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics. Among top markets, the best option is a cautious watch on Asian Handicap Away +1.5 with a modest positive edge and expected value, while other bets show negative expected returns. This is a monitoring phase rather than a clear betting opportunity, so risk control is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 28