Match Replay

Step 30 of 74. Current minute: 38 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	2.67	2	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	1.85	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.5	3.6	8.5	1.07	1.25	2.5	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5	1.67	2.2

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +23.0% | EV +57.5% | ROI +61.0% | n=250 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.5% | EV +23.1% | ROI +43.9% | n=250 | k=1.85

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.5% | EV +12.5% | ROI +15.2% | n=250 | k=3.60

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -0.6% | EV -0.9% | ROI +29.3% | n=250 | k=1.45

AI-agent: At the 38th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market shows increased support for a draw, with odds dropping 24% from pre-match levels. Lille, the pre-match favorite, maintains offensive pressure and more shots, indicating control despite the equal scoreline. Historical data supports a double chance on X2 (draw or away win) with a 64.4% success rate and a strong ROI of 61.0%. The model identifies a positive edge of +23.0% and expected value of +57.5% for X2 at odds of 2.50, but the entry conditions based on current match tempo and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. This is a monitoring situation with potential value, but caution is recommended until clearer confirmation emerges.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 38