Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	3	5	4	-	2.85	2.1	-	-	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	-	-	-	-	1.77	1.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.53	3.4	8.5	1.07	1.3	2.38	-	-	-	-	1.17	5	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +22.1% | EV +52.4% | ROI +60.3% | n=289 | k=2.38

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.1% | EV +21.5% | ROI +44.3% | n=289 | k=1.77

3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +3.3% | EV +11.3% | ROI +8.2% | n=289 | k=3.40

4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.0% | EV -6.3% | ROI +21.3% | n=289 | k=2.10

AI-agent: At 42 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Lille and Le Havre, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 28% from pre-match levels. Lille, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and leads in shots, showing more activity than in previous encounters, while Le Havre is underperforming relative to their usual level. Historical data supports a double chance on Le Havre (X2) with a 67.5% success rate and a strong ROI of 60.3%. The model identifies a positive edge (+22.1%) and expected value (+52.4%) for this bet, but entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Among top markets, the best option remains the double chance on the away team, with risk control advised given the live dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 42