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Match Replay

Step 39 of 74. Current minute: 46 .
France | Ligue 1 | Lille - Le Havre | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 46'   —   Lille 1:1 Le Havre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 11 4 7 6 - 2.08 2.2 - - -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 - - - - 1.65 1.73
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.57 3.25 8 1.08 1.33 2.25 - - - - 1.2 4.5 1.85 2
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +21.5% | EV +48.3% | ROI +51.3% | n=293 | k=2.25
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +17.8% | EV +30.6% | ROI +58.4% | n=293 | k=1.73
3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.5% | EV +20.6% | ROI +35.5% | n=293 | k=1.65
4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +2.6% | EV +8.5% | ROI +8.7% | n=293 | k=3.25
AI-agent: At 46 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Lille and Le Havre, the market shows strong support for a draw, with odds dropping 32% from pre-match levels reflecting the current score. Lille, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and shot dominance, indicating they are more active than in previous encounters, while Le Havre is underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data from 293 similar situations favors a double chance on Le Havre (draw or win) with a 67.2% success rate and a solid ROI of 51.3%. The model identifies a +21.5% edge and +48.3% expected value on this double chance at odds of 2.25, but the entry conditions based on current tempo and stats are not yet met, so no bet is advised now. The top-4 market signals also recommend watching rather than betting, highlighting this as a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory stake, with risk control in mind.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 46