Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	15	6	9	9	-	2.08	3.45	1.11	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	6.6	1.3	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.91	2.2	13	1.04	1.61	1.8	-	-	-	-	1.53	2.5	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +32.1% | EV +55.4% | ROI +65.6% | n=375 | k=1.73

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.6% | EV +28.2% | ROI +42.1% | n=375 | k=1.80

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.9% | EV +14.1% | ROI +19.7% | n=375 | k=1.30

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -4.7% | ROI +34.0% | n=375 | k=2.50

AI-agent: At the 71st minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market strongly supports a draw, with odds dropping 54% from pre-match levels. Lille, the pre-match favorite, maintains offensive pressure and leads in shots, showing more activity than Le Havre and compared to their last meeting. Historical data favors the away handicap +1.5 with a 96% win rate and a strong ROI of 65.6%, confirming a reliable edge. The best current bet is AH_AWAY+1.5 at 1.73 odds with a 32.1% edge and 55.4% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Risk control suggests monitoring the match closely before committing to a wager.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 71