Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	17	7	10	11	-	2.08	1.57	1.15	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	-	-	-	5.5	2.35	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.3	1.83	12	1.04	1.83	1.53	-	-	-	-	1.82	2.02	5.5	1.14

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +46.6% | EV +109.5% | ROI +115.1% | n=357 | k=2.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +32.6% | EV +56.2% | ROI +70.1% | n=357 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +12.4% | EV +19.0% | ROI +32.3% | n=357 | k=1.53

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.8% | ROI +41.2% | n=357 | k=2.02

AI-agent: At the 80th minute in Lille vs Le Havre, the market strongly favors a draw with odds dropping 61% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current 1-1 score. Lille, the pre-match favorite, maintains pressure and more shots, showing higher activity than in their last meeting, while Le Havre underperforms compared to their usual level. Historical data supports an away handicap +1 bet with a 98.4% win rate and excellent ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics and entry rules. The top recommended bets are on the away handicap +1 and +1.5 with significant edges and expected value, yet this remains a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet to control risk. Under 2.5 goals is not advised given negative expected value.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 80