Match Replay

Step 64 of 74. Current minute: 83 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	18	8	10	11	-	2.08	1.57	1.16	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	-	-	-	5.25	2.35	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2.6	1.67	13	1.04	2.1	1.44	-	-	-	-	2.12	1.75	9	1.07

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +47.0% | EV +110.5% | ROI +117.8% | n=351 | k=2.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +32.7% | EV +56.3% | ROI +70.0% | n=351 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +11.3% | EV +16.3% | ROI +27.5% | n=351 | k=1.44

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.2% | EV -3.9% | ROI +31.1% | n=351 | k=1.75

AI-agent: At the 83rd minute, Lille and Le Havre are tied 1-1, with no red cards issued. The market strongly supports the draw, with odds dropping 65% from pre-match levels, reflecting Lille's dominance in shots and pressure in the final phase. Historically, the away handicap +1 has a strong record in similar situations, showing a 98.4% win rate and a high ROI of 117.8%. The model favors betting on AH_AWAY+1 with a 47% edge and expected value over 110%, but the entry conditions based on current score and match tempo are not fully met, so this remains a watch situation rather than a confirmed bet. Risk control suggests monitoring this market closely without mandatory entry at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 83