Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	20	9	11	12	-	2.08	1.57	1.19	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	5	-	-	-	4.65	2.35	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
10	1.06	34	1.07	1.17	2.75	-	-	-	-	1.82	2.02	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +54.7% | EV +150.5% | ROI +156.7% | n=361 | k=2.75

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +48.5% | EV +114.0% | ROI +125.5% | n=361 | k=2.35

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +39.0% | EV +78.9% | ROI +74.5% | n=361 | k=2.02

4) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +33.1% | EV +57.1% | ROI +71.5% | n=361 | k=1.73

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with the score tied 1-1 between Lille and Le Havre, the market strongly supports a draw, with odds dropping 78% from pre-match levels. Lille, the pre-match favorite, shows dominance in shots and pressure, especially in the final phase, but the game remains balanced. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the double chance X2 (draw or away win) with a 93.4% success rate and high ROI, confirmed by a solid sample of 361 matches. The model indicates a significant edge and expected value for X2 at odds of 2.75, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no new bets are advised now. Top-4 market signals suggest monitoring the X2 and Asian Handicap +1 options due to their positive expected value and risk metrics, but this is a watch situation rather than a mandatory bet. Given the balanced score and Lille's pressure, cautious observation is recommended rather than entering new positions at this late stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 90