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France | Ligue 1 | Lille - Le Havre | 03.05.2026 | 18:00:00 | LIVE 28'   —   Lille 1:0 Le Havre
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 6 2 4 3 - 1.5 1.57 - - -
Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 2.35 2.5
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.1 9 23 1.01 1.07 7 - - 1.1 7 1.44 2.75 2.38 1.57
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.9% | EV +7.3% | ROI +41.7% | n=1352 | k=2.50
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.4% | ROI -60.4% | n=1352 | k=1.57
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -6.3% | EV -14.9% | ROI +63.8% | n=1352 | k=2.35
4) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -3.9% | EV -6.2% | ROI +3.9% | n=1352 | k=1.57
AI-agent: At 28 minutes in the Lille vs Le Havre match, Lille leads 1-0 and the market is increasingly favoring the home side, with odds dropping 19% from pre-match levels. Lille confirms their dominance in shots and tempo, showing more activity than in previous encounters, while Le Havre is underperforming. Historical data supports a double chance on Le Havre or draw (X2) with a strong 68.4% win rate and an 88.1% ROI, but the model has not triggered a bet due to current match dynamics. Top-4 markets suggest watching Asian Handicap +1.5 for the away team as the best option with moderate positive expected value, while other markets advise no bet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear entry opportunity, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 28