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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	15	6	9	9	-	2.08	3.45	1.11	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	6.4	1.3	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.83	2.25	12	1.04	1.57	1.83	-	-	-	-	1.5	2.62	3.4	1.33

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +32.0% | EV +55.2% | ROI +65.9% | n=366 | k=1.73

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +16.0% | EV +29.3% | ROI +42.2% | n=366 | k=1.83

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +10.6% | EV +13.8% | ROI +19.5% | n=366 | k=1.30

4) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.6% | EV -4.3% | ROI +35.6% | n=366 | k=2.62

AI-agent: At 69 minutes with the score tied 1-1, the market strongly supports a draw, reflected by a 53% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lille, the pre-match favorite, maintains offensive pressure and more shots, showing greater activity than Le Havre, who are underperforming compared to their usual level. Historical data for similar situations strongly favors the away team with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 96.2% win rate and a 65.9% ROI, confirming a solid edge. The best current bet is AH_AWAY+1.5 at 1.73 odds with a 32% edge and 55.2% expected value, but the model advises caution as the entry conditions based on score, tempo, and stats are not fully met yet. This is a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory bet, so risk control is recommended before committing stakes.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 69