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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	16	6	10	10	-	2.08	4	1.13	-	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	3	-	-	-	5.9	1.23	1.73

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
2	2.05	12	1.04	1.67	1.73	-	-	-	-	1.61	2.3	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +32.3% | EV +55.7% | ROI +67.0% | n=375 | k=1.73

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +15.7% | EV +27.1% | ROI +41.8% | n=375 | k=1.73

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -2.1% | EV -4.9% | ROI +36.2% | n=375 | k=2.30

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.3% | EV -5.3% | ROI -34.1% | n=375 | k=1.61

AI-agent: At 74 minutes, the score is tied 1-1 between Lille and Le Havre, with no red cards. The market strongly supports the draw, with odds dropping 57% from pre-match levels, reflecting Lille's dominance in shots and tempo. Historically, similar situations favor the away team with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 96.8% win rate and a 67% ROI over 375 matches. The best model suggestion is AH_AWAY+1.5 with a 32.3% edge and 55.7% expected value, but the entry conditions are not fully met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. The top-4 markets also recommend monitoring AH_AWAY+1.5 and double chance for the away team, while under and over 2.5 goals are not advised. Overall, this is a cautious phase with Lille pressing but no clear betting trigger yet.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387978 | minute: 74