Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	3	-	-	-	2.67	1.4	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.85	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	3.75	1.95	1.73	1.25	1.25	-	-	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	2.02	1.82

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.5% | ROI -18.9% | n=144 | k=1.82

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -2.3% | EV -6.6% | ROI +19.9% | n=144 | k=2.85

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.0% | EV -3.2% | ROI -5.6% | n=144 | k=3.40

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -3.5% | EV -4.6% | ROI -3.7% | n=144 | k=1.33

AI-agent: At 21 minutes into the Lyon vs Rennes match, Rennes leads 1-0, with no red cards yet. Market pressure favors the away team, with odds dropping 37% from pre-match levels considering the current score. However, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either side, and the recent phase shows Lyon pressing more actively. Historical data on similar situations suggests a slight edge for under 3.5 goals, but with a negative ROI and weak historical confirmation. The model identifies a small positive edge on under 3.5 goals at 1.82 odds, yet this does not meet the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 market signals recommend watching the under 3.5 goals option rather than placing a bet, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a firm entry. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and limited historical support.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 21