Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	6	1	5	3	-	2.38	1.7	1.6	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.1	1.55

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.4	4.5	8.5	1.07	1.18	2.75	-	-	-	-	1.57	2.38	1.14	5.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +3.9% | EV +6.0% | ROI +34.9% | n=129 | k=1.55

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.6% | ROI +196.5% | n=129 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.1% | EV +12.8% | ROI +69.1% | n=129 | k=2.10

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.3% | EV +0.9% | ROI +111.2% | n=129 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 36 minutes with the score tied 1-1 between Lyon and Rennes, the market is favoring the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Despite this, shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team, though Lyon is applying more pressure recently. Historical data supports a strong value on Rennes with Asian Handicap +1.5, showing a 93% win rate and a 34.9% ROI over 129 matches. The model confirms this bet with a positive edge and expected value, but no new position is opened as it is already covered in the portfolio. The top recommendation is to back Rennes +1.5 with controlled risk, while other options like under 3.5 goals or Rennes +1 are on watch for potential opportunities. This is a monitoring situation rather than a mandatory entry now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 36