Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.42	1.75	1.6	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.12	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.4	4.33	9	1.07	1.2	2.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.14	5.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.6% | ROI +196.5% | n=129 | k=5.50

2) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.4% | EV +1.0% | ROI +111.2% | n=129 | k=2.75

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.8% | EV +8.2% | ROI +69.1% | n=129 | k=2.12

4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.4% | EV +16.7% | ROI -17.1% | n=129 | k=1.35

AI-agent: At 36 minutes in the Lyon vs Rennes match, Lyon leads 2-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance. Recent play shows Lyon pressing more actively than in their last meeting, while Rennes is underperforming. Historical data for a +1 handicap on Lyon is weak and shows negative ROI, and the model's entry conditions are not yet met despite a positive edge and expected value. Top-4 markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals and double chance on Rennes or handicap on Rennes +1, indicating a monitoring phase rather than a strong betting signal. Caution is advised given the mixed signals and the current game tempo.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 36