Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.42	1.73	1.6	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	1	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.15	1.52

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.33	9	1.07	1.2	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.17	5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.6% | EV +17.0% | ROI +32.1% | n=24 | k=1.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.0% | EV +8.6% | ROI -8.8% | n=24 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.8% | EV +8.3% | ROI -25.0% | n=24 | k=3.00

4) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.4% | ROI +45.8% | n=24 | k=5.00

AI-agent: At the 45th minute with Lyon leading 2-1 against Rennes, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, with odds dropping by 35% from pre-match levels. However, shot data does not clearly favor either team, and Rennes has applied pressure recently. Historically, similar situations with a +1 handicap for Lyon have been very successful, but the sample size is currently too small to confirm this fully. The model identifies a positive edge and expected value on Lyon +1 handicap at 1.35 odds, yet the entry conditions based on current match dynamics are not met, so this remains a watch situation. Overall, this is a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity, with risk control advised given the mixed signals and limited historical confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 45