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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Rennes | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | HT   —   Lyon 2:1 Rennes
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Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 2 0 0 7 2 5 3 - 2.6 1.77 1.6 1.35 -
Away 1 0 0 3 3 0 3 - - 3.1 2.3 2.1 1.48
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.4 4.33 9 1.07 1.2 2.75 - - - - - - 1.2 4.5
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +12.4% | EV +16.7% | ROI +32.1% | n=24 | k=1.35
2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.0% | EV +10.5% | ROI -10.0% | n=24 | k=2.10
3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.4% | ROI +31.2% | n=24 | k=4.50
4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.4% | EV +1.0% | ROI -31.2% | n=24 | k=2.75
AI-agent: At halftime, Lyon leads Rennes 2-1, with the market increasingly favoring the home side as the odds have dropped by 35% from pre-match levels considering the current score. Shot statistics do not clearly support dominance by either team, and the recent phase has seen Rennes applying more pressure. Historically, Lyon has been more active than in their last meeting, while Rennes is below their usual level. Although the model identifies a promising opportunity on Lyon with a +1 handicap offering a 12.4% edge and 16.7% expected value, the entry conditions based on current match tempo and stats are not yet met. The historical sample is limited and does not fully confirm the bet. This situation calls for monitoring rather than a firm bet, with risk control advised if choosing to engage.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 45