Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	8	3	5	3	-	2.67	1.73	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	6	5	1	4	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.15	1.45

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.33	4.5	12	1.04	1.18	3.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.6% | EV +21.1% | ROI +19.7% | n=18 | k=1.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +5.4% | EV +11.7% | ROI +63.2% | n=18 | k=2.15

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +2.1% | EV +6.7% | ROI +98.6% | n=18 | k=3.25

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.3% | EV +1.4% | ROI +50.0% | n=18 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 52 minutes in the Lyon vs Rennes match, the market shows increased confidence in Lyon, with odds dropping 38% from pre-match levels, reflecting the current 3:2 scoreline. Shot statistics do not clearly favor either side, and although Rennes showed a brief surge in activity, it remains unstable. The tempo and score suggest a balanced game, with Lyon more active than in their last meeting, while Rennes is below their usual level. Historical data on similar situations is limited and does not fully support a bet on Lyon with +1 handicap, despite the model indicating a positive edge and expected value. The best candidate bet is AH_HOME+1 at 1.35 odds, but entry conditions are not met yet, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm recommendation. Risk control advises monitoring before committing to a stake.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 52