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Match Replay

Step 42 of 59. Current minute: 71 .
France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Rennes | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 71'   —   Lyon 3:2 Rennes
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 3 0 0 12 6 6 6 - 1.27 1.95 1.6 1.35 -
Away 2 0 0 7 5 2 5 - - 3.1 2.3 1.9 3.55
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.03 15 51 1 1.03 15 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +25.4% | EV +90.3% | ROI +190.5% | n=11 | k=3.55
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +23.0% | EV +44.8% | ROI -0.9% | n=11 | k=1.95
3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.4% | EV +22.1% | ROI +31.8% | n=11 | k=1.35
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -26.9% | EV -51.1% | ROI -1.8% | n=11 | k=1.90
AI-agent: At 71 minutes with Lyon leading 3-2 against Rennes, the market is favoring the home side, reflected by a 51% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been closely contested, with Lyon showing more shot activity, though no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully support the away handicap +1.5 bet despite a strong model signal showing a +25.4% edge and +90.3% expected value. Given the weak historical confirmation, this is a watch situation rather than a clear betting opportunity. Risk control advises monitoring the match further before committing to a bet.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 71