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Match Replay

Step 43 of 59. Current minute: 71 .
France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Rennes | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 71'   —   Lyon 4:2 Rennes
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 4 0 0 12 6 6 6 - 1.25 1.95 1.6 1.35 -
Away 2 0 0 7 5 2 5 - - 3.1 2.3 1.9 3.8
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
1.02 17 51 1 1.02 17 - - - - - - - -
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.0% | EV +62.4% | ROI -0.9% | n=11 | k=1.95
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.4% | EV +22.2% | ROI +31.8% | n=11 | k=1.35
3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -5.6% | EV -21.2% | ROI +190.5% | n=11 | k=3.80
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -35.9% | EV -68.3% | ROI -1.8% | n=11 | k=1.90
AI-agent: At 71 minutes with Lyon leading 4-2 against Rennes, the market strongly favors the home side, reflecting a 51% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon has been more active in shots and overall tempo, matching the current scoreline well, though recent pressure has been balanced. Historical data for similar handicap bets is limited and inconclusive, so the model's positive edge of +32% and expected value of +62.4% on Lyon -1 handicap is noted but not confirmed for a new bet. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the weak historical validation.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 71