Match Replay

Step 46 of 59. Current minute: 78 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	13	7	6	6	-	1.2	1.95	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	7	5	2	5	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.9	4.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	21	81	1	1.01	21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.5% | EV +63.3% | ROI +95.0% | n=7 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.6% | EV +22.4% | ROI +35.0% | n=7 | k=1.35

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -3.3% | EV -14.5% | ROI -100.0% | n=7 | k=4.40

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -22.9% | EV -71.0% | ROI -100.0% | n=7 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At 78 minutes with Lyon leading 4-2 against Rennes, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase, aligning well with the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully validate the model's suggested bet on Lyon with a -1 handicap, despite a promising edge of +32.5% and expected value of +63.3%. Given this, the best approach is to watch the AH_HOME-1 market closely rather than place a new bet now, as the historical check is weak and the model's entry rule is not yet confirmed. This is a monitoring situation with potential but requires caution and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 78