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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.5	1.77	1.6	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	2	2	0	0	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.1	1.5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.4	4.33	8.5	1.07	1.2	2.75	-	-	-	-	1.57	2.38	1.14	5.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.5% | EV +3.7% | ROI +34.9% | n=129 | k=1.50

2) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.6% | ROI +196.5% | n=129 | k=5.50

3) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +7.1% | EV +14.8% | ROI +69.1% | n=129 | k=2.10

4) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +0.9% | EV +2.4% | ROI +111.2% | n=129 | k=2.75

AI-agent: At 36 minutes in the Lyon vs Rennes match, the score is tied 1-1 with no red cards. Market pressure favors the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels, though shot data does not clearly support dominance by either team. The hosts show more activity compared to their last meeting, while Rennes performs below their usual standard. Historical analysis supports a bet on the away handicap +1.5 with a strong 93% win rate and a 34.9% ROI over 129 matches. The model confirms this bet with a positive edge of 2.5% and expected value of 3.7%, but no new position is opened as this bet is already in the portfolio. Among top markets, the away handicap +1.5 is the best bet with controlled risk, while other options like under 3.5 goals and away handicap +1 are on watch for potential opportunities. This is a favorable situation to monitor with a clear edge on the away handicap, but no immediate new bet is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 36