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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	2	0	0	7	2	5	3	-	2.6	1.77	1.6	1.35	-
Away	1	0	0	3	3	0	3	-	-	3.1	2.3	2.1	1.48

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.4	4.33	9.5	1.06	1.2	2.75	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.2	4.5

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +13.0% | EV +17.5% | ROI +32.1% | n=24 | k=1.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.7% | EV +9.9% | ROI -10.0% | n=24 | k=2.10

3) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +2.4% | ROI +31.2% | n=24 | k=4.50

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.2% | EV +1.0% | ROI -27.8% | n=24 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At 45 minutes with Lyon leading 2-1 against Rennes, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, with odds dropping 35% from pre-match levels. Despite Lyon's lead, the game tempo and shot data do not strongly favor either team, and Rennes has applied pressure recently. Historical data on similar situations is limited and does not fully confirm the advantage, as the sample size is below the minimum threshold. The best model suggestion is a +1 handicap on Lyon with an edge of +13% and expected value of +17.5%, but the entry conditions are not yet met, so this is a watch situation rather than a firm bet. Monitoring the match for further developments is advised, considering the moderate risk and the current balance of play.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 45