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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	10	5	5	6	-	2.85	1.85	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	6	5	1	4	-	-	3.1	2.3	2	1.4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.36	4.33	11	1.05	1.2	3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.7% | EV +19.9% | ROI +30.0% | n=7 | k=1.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.6% | EV +7.3% | ROI -28.6% | n=7 | k=2.00

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +1.2% | EV +3.5% | ROI -57.1% | n=7 | k=3.00

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +0.2% | EV +1.1% | ROI -100.0% | n=7 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At 58 minutes with Lyon leading 3-2 against Rennes, the market shows increased confidence in the home side, reflected by a 35% drop in odds from pre-match levels. However, shot statistics do not clearly favor either team, and recent play lacks sustained pressure from one side. Historically, similar situations with a +1 handicap for Lyon have performed well, but the sample size is too small to confirm reliability. The model identifies a positive edge and expected value on Lyon +1 handicap at 1.35 odds, yet the entry criteria based on current match tempo and score are not fully met. This is a monitoring phase rather than a firm betting opportunity, advising caution and risk control.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 58