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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	3	0	0	11	6	5	6	-	3.55	1.95	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	7	5	2	5	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.9	1.27

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.28	4.5	19	1.02	1.18	3.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.3% | EV +21.9% | ROI +31.8% | n=11 | k=1.35

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +4.6% | EV +8.8% | ROI -1.8% | n=11 | k=1.90

3) Watch | Double Chance X2 | Edge +3.2% | EV +11.1% | ROI -36.4% | n=11 | k=3.50

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -0.2% | EV -0.7% | ROI -59.1% | n=11 | k=4.50

AI-agent: At 71 minutes, Lyon leads Rennes 3-2 in a closely contested Ligue 1 match. Market pressure favors Lyon, with odds dropping 51% from pre-match levels, reflecting their active shot count and current advantage. Historical data for a +1 handicap on Lyon shows strong past performance but is based on a small sample, making it less reliable. The model identifies a positive edge and expected value on Lyon +1 handicap at 1.35 odds; however, entry conditions are not fully met due to the match tempo and score dynamics. The top markets suggest watching the Lyon +1 handicap as the best option, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 71