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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	12	6	6	6	-	1.23	1.95	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	7	5	2	5	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.9	4

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.02	19	67	1	1.02	19	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.2% | EV +62.8% | ROI -0.9% | n=11 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.5% | EV +22.3% | ROI +31.8% | n=11 | k=1.35

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -4.5% | EV -18.1% | ROI +190.5% | n=11 | k=4.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -36.1% | EV -68.6% | ROI -1.8% | n=11 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At 71 minutes with Lyon leading 4-2 against Rennes, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 51% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon has been more active in shots and maintains a tempo advantage, though recent pressure has balanced out. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not confirm a reliable edge, despite the model indicating a positive expected value and edge for a -1 handicap on Lyon. Given this, the situation is best viewed as a watch scenario rather than a clear betting opportunity, emphasizing cautious monitoring rather than immediate entry.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 71