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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	4	0	0	15	9	6	6	-	1.17	1.95	1.6	1.35	-
Away	2	0	0	7	5	2	5	-	-	3.1	2.3	1.9	5

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
1.01	26	81	1	1.01	26	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +32.9% | EV +64.1% | ROI +81.4% | n=7 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.6% | EV +22.4% | ROI +35.0% | n=7 | k=1.35

3) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.5% | EV -12.7% | ROI -28.6% | n=7 | k=5.00

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -23.0% | EV -71.2% | ROI -100.0% | n=7 | k=3.10

AI-agent: At the 84th minute with Lyon leading 4-2 against Rennes, the market strongly favors the home side, reflected by a 52% drop in odds from pre-match levels. Lyon has been more active in shots and pressure, especially in the recent phase, aligning well with the current scoreline. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully validate the model's confidence, despite a promising edge of +32.9% and expected value of +64.1% on a home -1 handicap at odds of 1.95. Given this, the best approach is to watch the AH_HOME-1 market closely rather than place a new bet, as the historical sample size is too small for a firm recommendation. This is a monitoring scenario with potential upside but requires caution due to incomplete historical confirmation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 84