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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	-	-	-	2.67	1.43	-
Away	1	0	0	1	1	0	0	-	-	2.75	1.45	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
3.6	3.75	1.91	1.8	1.25	1.25	-	-	1.05	11	1.28	3.75	1.82	2.02

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +1.0% | ROI -7.3% | n=131 | k=2.02

2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -1.4% | EV -3.9% | ROI +15.8% | n=131 | k=2.75

3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -0.9% | EV -3.2% | ROI +0.2% | n=131 | k=3.75

4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -3.5% | EV -13.0% | ROI +11.6% | n=131 | k=3.75

AI-agent: At 16 minutes into the Lyon vs Rennes match, Rennes leads 1-0, but the game shows no clear dominance from either side despite the scoreline. Market pressure favors Rennes with odds dropping 37% from pre-match levels, yet shot data does not confirm strong control. Historical data for similar situations suggests under 3.5 goals with a slight positive probability but a negative ROI, indicating weak historical support. The model identifies a small edge on under 3.5 goals with an expected value of +1.0%, but this is below the threshold for a confident bet. Top-4 markets recommend watching the under 3.5 goals option rather than placing a bet, emphasizing this as a monitoring phase rather than a mandatory entry. Caution is advised given the current game tempo and uncertain pressure dynamics.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 16