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France | Ligue 1 | Lyon - Rennes | 03.05.2026 | 23:45:00 | LIVE 16'   —   Lyon 0:1 Rennes
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - - - 2.6 1.4 -
Away 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 - - 2.85 1.48 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
3.5 3.75 1.95 1.73 1.25 1.28 - - 1.05 11 1.3 3.5 1.95 1.9
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +0.5% | EV +0.9% | ROI -13.0% | n=131 | k=1.90
2) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -0.9% | EV -2.4% | ROI +19.3% | n=131 | k=2.85
3) No Bet | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge -1.2% | EV -4.2% | ROI -6.5% | n=131 | k=3.50
4) No Bet | DRAW | Edge -3.3% | EV -12.5% | ROI +11.6% | n=131 | k=3.75
AI-agent: At 16 minutes into the Lyon vs Rennes match, Rennes leads 1-0, but the game shows no clear dominance from either side in terms of shots or sustained pressure. Market odds have shifted significantly in favor of Rennes, reflecting the current score, yet the tempo remains balanced. Historical data on similar situations is weak and does not support a strong betting edge, with a negative ROI of -13%. The model suggests a slight edge on Under 3.5 goals with a 1.90 odds, but this edge is below the threshold for a confident bet. Therefore, this is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity, and caution is advised given the uncertain dynamics and historical performance.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387979 | minute: 16