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Match Replay

Step 19 of 61. Current minute: 30 .
France | Ligue 1 | Metz - Monaco | 02.05.2026 | 22:00:00 | LIVE 30'   —   Metz 0:0 Monaco
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - 2.2 1.68
Away 0 0 0 2 0 2 1 - 2.15 1.65 - - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
7.5 4.5 1.4 2.75 1.18 1.08 1.04 13 1.22 4.33 1.73 2.1 2.75 1.44
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +23.1% | EV +63.6% | ROI +61.4% | n=46 | k=2.75
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +14.9% | EV +32.9% | ROI +44.3% | n=46 | k=2.20
3) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.7% | EV +30.3% | ROI +7.6% | n=46 | k=4.50
4) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +1.3% | EV +2.2% | ROI +23.8% | n=46 | k=1.68
AI-agent: At the 30th minute of Metz vs Monaco, the market shows strong support for a draw with odds dropping 22% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. However, shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, and the game tempo is slower than their last meeting, which ended 5-2 with Monaco leading 1-0 at this stage. Historical data favors a double chance on Metz not to lose (1X) with a 58.7% win rate and a positive ROI of 61.4%, but the model has not triggered a bet yet due to current match dynamics. The top-4 markets suggest watching the 1X option with an edge of +23.1% and EV of +63.6%, but this remains a monitoring situation rather than a firm betting opportunity, so caution is advised.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 30