Match Replay

Step 24 of 61. Current minute: 38 .

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	3	0	3	0	-	-	-	-	2.02	1.57
Away	0	0	0	4	0	4	1	-	2.35	1.82	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
6.5	4.33	1.5	2.5	1.2	1.11	1.05	11	1.25	4	1.85	2	3.2	1.36

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +2.8% | EV +4.5% | ROI +5.0% | n=33 | k=1.57

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +23.3% | EV +58.3% | ROI +28.8% | n=33 | k=2.50

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +15.9% | EV +32.2% | ROI +19.5% | n=33 | k=2.02

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +6.1% | EV +26.3% | ROI +5.0% | n=33 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At the 38th minute of the Metz vs Monaco match, the market shows clear pressure towards a draw with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, reflecting balanced play without dominance in shots. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last meeting, which ended 5-2 with Metz trailing 0-1 at this stage. Historical data supports a bet on Metz with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 66.7% win rate and a positive ROI of 5.0%. The model confirms this with an edge of +2.8% and expected value of +4.5%, though no new bet is opened as this position is already covered. Among top markets, the best bet is on Metz +1.5 handicap, offering a moderate risk with controlled exposure. Other options like double chance and draw are worth watching but not recommended for new bets now.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 38