Match Replay

Step 26 of 61. Current minute: 41 .

Pause Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 26 of 61 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	0	0	0	4	0	4	0	-	-	-	-	2.05	1.6
Away	0	0	0	4	0	4	1	-	2.3	1.75	-	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7.5	4.33	1.44	2.62	1.2	1.08	1.06	10	1.33	3.4	2.02	1.82	3.5	1.3

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +5.3% | EV +8.5% | ROI +6.7% | n=33 | k=1.60

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +22.6% | EV +59.2% | ROI +35.2% | n=33 | k=2.62

3) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +16.6% | EV +34.0% | ROI +20.8% | n=33 | k=2.05

4) Watch | DRAW | Edge +7.0% | EV +30.4% | ROI +5.0% | n=33 | k=4.33

AI-agent: At 41 minutes in the Metz vs Monaco match, the market strongly favors a draw, with odds dropping 25% from pre-match levels, indicating clear market pressure. The shot data does not confirm dominance by either side, though Metz has applied more pressure recently. Both teams are playing at a slower pace compared to their last encounter, which ended 5-2 in favor of Metz. Historical analysis supports a bet on Metz with a +1.5 handicap, showing a 66.7% win rate and positive ROI of 6.7%. The model confirms this with an edge of +5.3% and expected value of +8.5%, but no new bet is opened as this position is already held. The top recommended bet is AH_HOME+1.5 at 1.60 odds, with risk controlled by portfolio coverage. Other options like double chance for Metz or handicap +1 are on watch, suggesting monitoring rather than mandatory entry at this stage.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 41