Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	8	1	7	1	-	-	-	6.4	1.26	1.95
Away	1	0	0	13	2	11	8	-	1.9	3.7	1.11	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
13	2.1	1.95	1.73	1.67	1.04	-	-	-	-	1.57	2.38	4	1.25

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +37.3% | EV +72.6% | ROI +95.0% | n=14 | k=1.95

2) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +15.4% | EV +26.5% | ROI +72.7% | n=14 | k=1.73

3) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.1% | EV +0.1% | ROI +69.6% | n=14 | k=2.38

4) No Bet | Over 2.5 Goals | Edge -5.8% | EV -9.1% | ROI -55.1% | n=14 | k=1.57

AI-agent: At the 79th minute with the score tied 1-1 between Metz and Monaco, the market increasingly favors a draw, with odds dropping 63% from pre-match levels. Monaco has been more active in shots and is applying pressure in the recent phase, although both teams are playing at a slower pace than their previous encounter. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully validate the model's suggested bet on Metz +1.5 handicap, despite a strong edge and expected value. The top-4 markets recommend watching the Metz +1.5 handicap and the double chance on Metz or draw, but no confirmed bet is advised yet due to insufficient historical confirmation. This is a monitoring scenario rather than a mandatory entry, so caution is advised with risk management in mind.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 79