Match Replay

Step 53 of 61. Current minute: 86 .

Continue Start ← Back Forward → Finish Archive Seconds per step:

← Back Step 53 of 61 Forward → Start Finish Archive

Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	9	1	8	2	-	-	-	4.25	2.5	1.95
Away	1	0	0	13	2	11	8	-	1.9	1.5	1.21	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
9.5	1.83	2.4	1.5	1.83	1.06	-	-	-	-	1.8	2.05	5	1.17

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +47.8% | EV +119.4% | ROI +137.5% | n=12 | k=2.50

2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +37.5% | EV +73.2% | ROI +95.0% | n=12 | k=1.95

3) Watch | Double Chance 1X | Edge +13.4% | EV +20.2% | ROI +37.5% | n=12 | k=1.50

4) Watch | Under 2.5 Goals | Edge +0.4% | EV +0.8% | ROI +70.8% | n=12 | k=2.05

AI-agent: At the 86th minute with the score tied at 1-1, the market strongly favors a draw, reflected by a 68% drop in odds from pre-match levels. The game has been balanced, though Monaco has shown more activity in shots, but no sustained pressure from either side recently. Historical data for similar situations is limited and does not fully confirm the model's suggestion to back Metz with a +1.5 handicap, despite a strong edge and expected value indicated by the model. The top-4 markets suggest watching the handicap and double chance options rather than placing a firm bet now, as this is a monitoring phase with some positive indicators but not a confirmed entry. Caution is advised given the current match dynamics and incomplete historical validation.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 86