Match Replay

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Side	Goal	Red	Pen	Shots	Target	Missed	Corners	POS	-1.5	-1	AH0	+1	+1.5
Home	1	0	0	12	1	11	4	-	-	-	3.55	2.5	1.95
Away	2	0	0	15	3	12	9	-	1.9	1.5	1.27	-	-

W1	X	W2	1X	12	X2	O0.5	U0.5	O1.5	U1.5	O2.5	U2.5	O3.5	U3.5
7.5	5.75	1.33	3.25	1.12	1.08	-	-	-	-	-	-	1.73	2.1

TOP-4 markets ranking:

1) Watch | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge +41.4% | EV +87.0% | ROI +5.0% | n=4 | k=2.10

2) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +6.8% | EV +10.2% | ROI -25.0% | n=4 | k=1.50

3) No Bet | Home Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -1.9% | EV -3.7% | ROI +95.0% | n=4 | k=1.95

4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge -2.0% | EV -3.9% | ROI -100.0% | n=4 | k=1.90

AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Metz trailing Monaco 1-2, the market shows no strong signals or significant odds drop from pre-match levels, reflecting a close game with Monaco more active in shots but Metz pressing in the final phase. Historical data for under 3.5 goals is limited and inconclusive, with only 4 similar matches and a 50% success rate, so the historical check is weak. The model favors under 3.5 goals with a strong edge and expected value, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no new bets are advised now. The top markets suggest watching under 3.5 goals and Monaco -1 Asian Handicap, but no mandatory bets due to risk and incomplete confirmation. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity.

Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 90