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France | Ligue 1 | Metz - Monaco | 02.05.2026 | 22:00:00 | LIVE 90'   —   Metz 1:2 Monaco
Side Goal Red Pen Shots Target Missed Corners POS -1.5 -1 AH0 +1 +1.5
Home 1 0 0 9 1 8 2 - - - 3.55 3 1.21
Away 2 0 0 14 2 12 9 - 4.25 1.4 1.27 - -
W1 X W2 1X 12 X2 O0.5 U0.5 O1.5 U1.5 O2.5 U2.5 O3.5 U3.5
101 9 1.07 9 1.07 1.06 - - - - - - 3 1.4
TOP-4 markets ranking:
1) Watch | Away Asian Handicap +1.5 | Edge +27.1% | EV +115.1% | ROI -100.0% | n=13 | k=4.25
2) Watch | Home Asian Handicap +1 | Edge +3.4% | EV +10.3% | ROI +126.9% | n=13 | k=3.00
3) No Bet | Under 3.5 Goals | Edge -0.8% | EV -1.1% | ROI +3.0% | n=13 | k=1.40
4) No Bet | Away Asian Handicap +1 | Edge -8.2% | EV -11.5% | ROI -84.6% | n=13 | k=1.40
AI-agent: At the 90th minute with Metz trailing Monaco 1-2, the match remains competitive with Monaco having been more active in shots, though Metz is pressing strongly in the final phase. The scoreline reflects the match flow well. Historical data for a -1.5 away handicap is weak and insufficient, with no wins in 13 similar cases and a negative ROI, so the historical edge is unreliable. The model currently favors an AH_AWAY-1.5 bet with a strong edge and expected value, but the entry window closed after the 86th minute, so no bet is advised now. The top markets suggest watching the AH_AWAY-1.5 and AH_HOME+1 options due to positive edges but recommend no bet on totals or AH_AWAY-1 given negative expected value. This is a monitoring situation rather than a clear betting opportunity at this late stage.
Updated: June 15, 2026, 10:47 p.m. | fixture_id: 1387980 | minute: 90